Social Sphere as an Object of Legal Regulation and Legal Forecasting

The importance of legal forecasting lies in the study of legal phenomena and processes that occur under the influence of economic, political, demographic, ideological, and international factors of change, and in the development of proposals for the optimal development of legislation for their subsequent inclusion in legislative work plans. The main methodological problem of legal forecasting is to reveal the essence of the category "legal system and the future", the dynamics of which determines the quality of predictive research at all levels: strategies for the development of Russian legislation; legal institutions; legal education and law making; legal behavior of the individual (sociological aspect of forecasting). Representing a system of certain theoretical principles, forms and methods, as well as epistemological regularities for obtaining probabilistic judgments about the future state of legal and state phenomena and processes, the methodology of legal forecasting is aimed at improving the effectiveness of normative acts in all branches of law. It determines the most rational ways of developing the legal system as a whole. The paper analyzes the state of legal regulation in the field of maternal, child and family protection, social security, labor relations and some other areas of social reality. Using legal methods of forecasting, the author sketches the socio-legal institutional and industry models based on political-legal, socio-economic and spiritual factors, which are important landmarks to improve social relations, legal institutions and standards. The author proposes specific measures for the modernization of the legislative institutions in the socio-legal environment corresponding to the socio-cultural processes taking place in society and expected changes in the socio-cultural conditions in the future based on experienced or anticipated social needs. Conclusion: the current stage and social dynamics of social development require urgent legislative measures to ensure a decent human existence and implement the provision of article 2 of the Constitution of the Russian Federation on his rights and freedoms as the highest value.

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